Nonprofit · EIN 46-0572110
PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC
Tax-exempt · PALO ALTO, CA 94303
Financials
| Year ended | Form | Revenue | Expenses | Net income | Total assets | Liabilities | Net assets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2024 | 990 | $93,319 | $88,090 | $5,229 | $18,469 | $1,429 | $17,040 |
| December 31, 2023 | 990 | $191,216 | $196,362 | -$5,146 | $11,811 | $0 | $11,811 |
Financial details: 990 for the year ended December 31, 2024
Revenue
- Contributions, gifts and grants
- $42,650
- Program service revenue
- $50,669
- Investment income
- $0
- Other revenue
- $0
Expenses
- Grants and similar amounts paid
- $0
- Compensation of officers, directors and key employees
- $12,750
- Other salaries and wages
- $43,252
- Salaries, compensation and benefits (total)
- $61,004
- Professional fundraising fees
- $0
- Legal fees
- $75
- Accounting fees
- $2,600
- Travel
- $2,048
- Program services (functional)
- $81,782
- Management and general (functional)
- $6,308
Balance sheet and other
- Total assets, start of year
- $11,811
- Total assets, end of year
- $18,469
- Total liabilities, end of year
- $1,429
- Net assets, end of year
- $17,040
- Gross receipts
- $93,319
- Employees
- 5
- Volunteers
- 14
- Year formed
- 2012
- State of legal domicile
- CA
From the e-filed returns the IRS publishes as XML (latest three processing years; amended returns replace the original). PDF copies at the IRS.
Officers, directors and key employees
As listed on the 990 for the year ended December 31, 2024, highest compensation first.
| Name | Title | Hours / week | Compensation |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM SAVAGE | EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Trustee or director, Officer | 40 | $12,750 |
| MICHELLE HYNDMAN | ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR Trustee or director | 0 | $0 |
| DEBORAH GORDON | DIRECTOR Trustee or director, Officer | 0 | $0 |
| JUNE KLEIN | CFO Officer | 0 | $0 |
990 for the year ended December 31, 2023: 4 people
| Name | Title | Hours / week | Compensation |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM SAVAGE | EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Trustee or director, Officer | 40 | $24,167 |
| MICHELLE HYNDMAN | ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR Trustee or director | 0 | $0 |
| DEBORAH GORDON | DIRECTOR Trustee or director, Officer | 0 | $0 |
| JUNE KLEIN | CFO Officer | 0 | $0 |
Address and contacts
- Address (IRS master file)
- 3507 ROSS RD, PALO ALTO, CA 94303-4446
- In care of
- % SAM SAVAGE
- Principal officer (990 for 2024)
- SAM SAVAGE, 3507 ROSS ROAD, PALO ALTO, CA 94303
- Signed the 990
- SAM SAVAGE, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
- Phone
- (650) 520-6255
- Website
- PROBABILITYMANAGEMENT.ORG
- Return prepared by
- MACIAS GINI & O'CONNELL LLP
California records
California keeps its own records of charities and corporations. Search them by EIN 46-0572110 or by the name PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC.
- Attorney General, Registry of Charities and Fundraisers
- Registration status and filed reports (CT-TR-1, RRF-1)
- Secretary of State, bizfile Online
- Corporation status, entity number, agent for service
- Franchise Tax Board
- Entity status letter (state tax exemption, good standing)
Mission
PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE UNAMBIGUOUS STANDARDS FOR COMMUNICATING AND MANAGING UNCERTAINTIES AS DATA. THE GOAL IS TO INCREASE TRANSPARENCY AND CONSISTENCY IN REPORTING AND CALCULATING WITH UNCERTAINTIES IN AREAS AS DIVERSE AS FINANCE, ENERGY, PHARMACEUTICALS, BANKING, THE ECONOMY, NATIONAL DEFENSE AND CLIMATE CHANGE. THE RESULTING REPRESENTATION OF UNCERTAINTIES MUST BE 1) ACTIONABLE, IN THAT UNCERTAINTIES MAY BE USED DIRECTLY IN CALCULATIONS OF POTENTIAL RISKS AND REWARD ACROSS VIRTUALLY ALL SOFTWARE PLATFORMS. 2) ADDITIVE, IN THAT UNCERTAINTIES MAY BE AGGREGATED ACROSS THE ENTERPRISE, AND 3) AUDITABLE, IN THAT DATA PROVENANCE IS MAINTAINED WITH RESPECT TO ACCURACY AND SECURITY.
Program accomplishments
- PROBABILITY MANAGMENT'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE UNAMBIGUOUS STANDARDS FOR COMMUNICATING AND MANAGING UNCERTAINTIES AS DATA. THE GOAL IS TO INCREASE TRANSPARENCY AND CONSISTENCY IN REPORTING AND CALCULATING WITH UNCERTAINTIES IN AREAS AS DIVERSE AS FINANCE, ENERGY, PHARMACEUTICALS, BANKING, THE ECONOMY, NATIONAL DEFENSE AND CLIMATE CHANGE.Expenses $81,782 · revenue $50,669
What it must file and when
IRS records say it files Form 990 or 990-EZ. Based on its last return; a smaller organization may file the 990-N. Its accounting year ends in December, so each return is due on the 15th day of the 5th month after that.
| Tax year | Year ended | Due | IRS public records |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | December 31, 2025 | May 15, 2026 | Not on file |
| 2024 | December 31, 2024 | May 15, 2025 | 990 on file |
| 2023 | December 31, 2023 | May 15, 2024 | 990 on file |
IRS record
- EIN
- 46-0572110
- Tax-exempt status
- 501(c)(3): Charitable, religious, educational or scientific organization
- Foundation status
- Publicly supported organization (170(b)(1)(A)(vi))
- Donations deductible (Pub 78)
- Public charity, 50% deduction limit
- Exempt since
- 2014
- Accounting year ends
- December
- Files
- Form 990 or 990-EZ
- Category (NTEE)
- Employment (J99)
- Assets (IRS master file)
- $18,469
- Income (IRS master file)
- $93,319
Filing history
| Form | Year ended | Revenue | Expenses | Assets | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 990 | December 2024 | $93,319 | $88,090 | $18,469 | XML |
| 990 | December 2023 | $191,216 | $196,362 | $11,811 | XML |
| 990 | December 2022 | $198,305 | $245,753 | $16,957 | IRS |
| 990 | December 2021 | – | – | – | IRS |
| 990 | December 2020 | – | – | – | IRS |
| 990 | December 2019 | – | – | – | IRS |
| 990-EZ | December 2018 | – | – | – | IRS |
990-N: the IRS bulk file holds only the latest e-Postcard per organization; earlier years come from archived copies of that file since 2020 and can have gaps (the IRS e-Postcard search lists every one). 990, 990-EZ, 990-PF, 990-T: every e-filed return in the IRS e-file index since 2019; XML for the latest three processing years, amounts from the IRS Statistics of Income extracts before that. PDF copies and determination letters at the IRS (search EIN 46-0572110).
Questions about PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC
- What is the EIN of PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC?
- The employer identification number (EIN) of PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC is 46-0572110.
- Is PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC tax-exempt?
- Yes. The IRS lists it as tax-exempt under section 501(c)(3) since 2014.
- Are donations to PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC tax-deductible?
- Yes. It is listed in IRS Publication 78 (Public charity, 50% deduction limit).
- Which annual return does PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC file?
- Form 990 or 990-EZ. Based on its last return; a smaller organization may file the 990-N.
- When is the next return of PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC due?
- The return for tax year 2025 (the year ending December 31, 2025) is due May 15, 2026. Form 8868 extends it by six months; the 990-N cannot be extended.
- When did PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC last file with the IRS?
- The latest return in the IRS public files is the 990 for the year ended December 2024.
- Who is the principal officer of PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC?
- The 990 for the year ended December 31, 2024 names SAM SAVAGE.
- Who are the officers and directors of PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC?
- The 990 for the year ended December 31, 2024 lists 4 people; 1 received compensation from the organization, the highest $12,750 (SAM SAVAGE, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR).
- How much revenue does PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC have?
- On its 990 for the year ended December 31, 2024 it reported revenue of $93,319, expenses of $88,090 and total assets of $18,469 at year end.
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